Projected potential range and risk analysis of the sweet potato weevil, Cylas formicarius (Fabricius), in Jiangsu province

doi:10.7679/j.issn.2095-1353.2020.099

Abstract

Abstract:

[Objectives] To investigate the risk of introducing and spreading the alien invasive sweet potato weevil, Cylas formicarius (Fabricius) in Jiangsu province. [Methods] The principle of agroclimatic analogy was used to analyze the suitability of areas for C. formicarius in Jiangsu. Based on the pest risk analysis (PRA) procedure according to international standards for pest measurements (ISPM) and the relevant PRA model, this study based the quantitative and qualitative analysis of the risk of C. formicarius establishing in Jiangsu on five factors; the distribution of C. formicarius in China and Jiangsu, the potential damage that could be caused by this pest, the economic importance of damaged host plants, the risk of establishment and spread, and the difficulty of management. [Results] The C. formicarius synthetic risk index is 2.26. In addition, C. formicarius occurs seasonally south of 34.5°N in Jiangsu but only sporadically north of this latitude. It should be noted that there is currently no part of Jiangsu that is absolutely unsuitable for C. formicarius or where the species occurs year-round. [Conclusion] C. formicarius meets the requirements to be classified as quarantinable pest in China, and Jiangsu is a potential area where this species could establish. Based on this, two risk management strategies are proposed to reduce the risk of C. formicarius establishing in Jiangsu to an acceptable level.

Key words: Cylas formicarius (Fabricius), pest risk analysis, risk management, Jiangsu province

Peng GAO, Jie HU, Wei-Rong GONG, Yu-Zhou DU. Projected potential range and risk analysis of the sweet potato weevil, Cylas formicarius (Fabricius), in Jiangsu province[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Entomology, 2020, 57(4): 963-972.

Figures/Tables 3

References 53

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不同虫态 Developmental stages	发育起点温度（℃） Threshold temperature (℃)	有效积温（日·度） Effective accumulated temperature (degree·days)
卵Egg	11.44	118.07
幼虫Larva	12.37	233.42
蛹Pupa	14.42	78.41
成虫产卵前期Preoviposition period	17.44	72.87
全生育期Whole growth period	13.58	515.77

不同虫态 Developmental stages	发育起点温度（℃） Threshold temperature (℃)	有效积温（日·度） Effective accumulated temperature (degree·days)
卵Egg	11.44	118.07
幼虫Larva	12.37	233.42
蛹Pupa	14.42	78.41
成虫产卵前期Preoviposition period	17.44	72.87
全生育期Whole growth period	13.58	515.77

地级市 Cities	有效日数 (d) Effective days (d)	有效积温（日·度） Effective accumulated temperature(degree·days)	预测世代数 Predicted generations
南京Nanjing	189.10	2 150.75	4.17
无锡Wuxi	200.70	1 957.35	3.80
徐州Xuzhou	183.50	2 202.88	4.27
常州Changzhou	195.70	1 901.91	3.69
苏州Suzhou	200.60	1 965.89	3.81
南通Nantong	187.70	2 083.68	4.04
连云港Lianyungang	176.50	1 783.78	3.46
淮安Huai’an	179.30	2 000.57	3.88
盐城Yancheng	175.60	1 931.75	3.75
扬州Yangzhou	190.30	2 265.52	4.39
镇江Zhenjiang	188.30	2 111.52	4.09
泰州Taizhou	182.40	1 994.20	3.87
宿迁Suqian	172.80	1 973.60	3.83

地级市 Cities	有效日数 (d) Effective days (d)	有效积温（日·度） Effective accumulated temperature(degree·days)	预测世代数 Predicted generations
南京Nanjing	189.10	2 150.75	4.17
无锡Wuxi	200.70	1 957.35	3.80
徐州Xuzhou	183.50	2 202.88	4.27
常州Changzhou	195.70	1 901.91	3.69
苏州Suzhou	200.60	1 965.89	3.81
南通Nantong	187.70	2 083.68	4.04
连云港Lianyungang	176.50	1 783.78	3.46
淮安Huai’an	179.30	2 000.57	3.88
盐城Yancheng	175.60	1 931.75	3.75
扬州Yangzhou	190.30	2 265.52	4.39
镇江Zhenjiang	188.30	2 111.52	4.09
泰州Taizhou	182.40	1 994.20	3.87
宿迁Suqian	172.80	1 973.60	3.83